Friday, September 24, 2010

PREDICTION: Rays and Rockies in World Series!

We project the Colorado Rockies will face the Tampa Bay Rays in the 2010 Major League Baseball World Series.  We base our claim on the League leading Sweep Factor for Tampa Bay of 450% and Colorado of 267%.  The new statistic developed by Seriesweep is expressed as a ratio of the number of team series sweeps divided by the number of times the team is swept.

Virtually every activity in baseball is recorded, analyzed and reported to the point of endangering the emotional dimension of the game.  And given the long and arduous march to October, I look for ways to keep my interest.  As a fan since childhood, I have been fascinated by the excitement generated by a “sweep” – the winning of all of the games in a scheduled series.  The anticipation of an impending sweep is almost as euphoric as the thrill of the actual sweep.  And the consequence of a sweep is the winner’s fans earning bragging rights over the loser’s fans – at least until the next series.” 

The results for the 2010 Major League Baseball season through September 24, 2010 are:
2010
American
League


2010
National
League

AL-East
Sweep
Swept
SF

NL-East
Sweep
Swept
SF
Rays
9
2
450%

Mets
6
2
300%
Yankees
6
2
300%

Phillies
9
4
225%
Red Sox
7
4
175%

Braves
6
4
150%
Blue Jays
7
4
175%

Marlins
6
4
150%
Orioles
5
11
45%

Nationals
1
10
10%
AL-Central
Sweep
Swept
SF

NL-Central
Sweep
Swept
SF
Twins
9
2
450%

Reds
9
6
150%
White Sox
8
3
267%

Cubs
6
5
120%
Tigers
7
3
233%

Brewers
9
8
113%
Indians
3
9
33%

Astros
9
8
113%
Royals
2
7
29%

Cardinals
4
5
80%





Pirates
4
17
24%
AL-West
Sweep
Swept
SF

NL-West
Sweep
Swept
SF
Rangers
9
6
150%

Rockies
8
3
267%
Angels
7
7
100%

Padres
10
4
250%
Athletics
4
8
50%

Dodgers
7
6
117%
Mariners
3
8
38%

Giants
7
6
117%





Diamondbacks
5
13
38%

Not surprisingly, a correlation exists between league leaders in Sweep Factor (SF) and MLB Standings.  In almost all instances, the top two teams match up.  The exceptions being the Cardinals with a higher second place Standing versus their number fifth position 80% Sweep Factor   The Mets also create a surprise with a  National League leading and MLB tied for third place 300% Sweep Factor.  In fact equal to their cross town rivals the Yankees.

Negative performance in the Standings is also reflected in poor performance in Sweep Factor with every last place team in Standings also being in last place in Sweep Factor with the Nationals holding the bag as the worst team in sweepiness with a 10% Sweep Factor.

Seriesweep and Sweep Factor are not in any way affiliated with Major League Baseball.  All references to team names and activities are the sole property of MLB.

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